Trailing narrative

Thinking about how narratives build and collapse this morning. Not sure I can articulate it well, but roughly:

  1. Someone has an idea and shares it; no one notices.
  2. A few news stories pop up around that idea; it becomes the narrative.
  3. Future news that is even remotely related to that idea is judged as confirming the narrative; it is accepted as obvious truth that everyone just knows.

Mostly fine so far. But here’s where it breaks down:

  1. Something significant changes; no one notices.
  2. The narrative has become a caricature of the original idea; it's barely true anymore.
  3. Everyone carries on as if nothing has changed; sometimes they even fight new ideas that reflect the changed world.

What happens next is probably wildly different depending on the narrative. I don’t have a specific example to share here. I’ve just seen it play out like this multiple times.

Sometimes narratives slowly fade. Sometimes they shatter. In either case, the hardest part is noticing.

Manton Reece @manton